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	<title>Contrarian Value Investing &#187; Forest Laboratories</title>
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	<description>Contrarian Value Investing At Its Finest</description>
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		<title>Bye Bye Mr. Buffett</title>
		<link>http://www.contrarianvalueinvesting.com/2008/08/23/bye-bye-mr-buffett/#utm_source=feed&#038;utm_medium=feed&#038;utm_campaign=feed</link>
		<comments>http://www.contrarianvalueinvesting.com/2008/08/23/bye-bye-mr-buffett/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 23 Aug 2008 19:36:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>alexg</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Magic Formula Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bruce Berkowitz]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Forest Laboratories]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Warren Buffett]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.contrarianvalueinvesting.com/?p=113</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I bought Burlington Northern Santa Fe (BNI) when Warren Buffett was buying its stock hands over fist in the low 80&#8242;s and high 70&#8242;s.  The stock soon railed its way to $110 as the price of crude climbed.The high price of crude made it cheaper for companies to send long distance shipments via rail. The [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I bought Burlington Northern Santa Fe (BNI) when <strong>Warren Buffett</strong> was buying its stock hands over fist in the low 80&#8242;s and high 70&#8242;s.  The stock soon railed its way to $110 as the price of crude climbed.The high price of crude made it cheaper for companies to send long distance shipments via rail. The ride was fun but unfortunately, I have to let Mr. Buffett&#8217;s stock picks go as I try to become 100% invested with magic formula stocks. Under my current stock picking system (contrarian investing + magic formula investing), BNI would have never been purchased as its ROIC (12%) is too low for my liking. I already know what is going to happen next, I swap stocks, while my current stock lags the market, BNI goes up to $175. Although this will hurt in the short term, I am conferable with my stock picks.<span id="more-113"></span></p>
<p><strong>No Cash = Wait For Better Opportunities</strong></p>
<p>When I decided to go with a 100% magic formula portfolio I made a commitment to find solid undervalued business with the idea to be 100% invested near the market bottom. So far the decision has been correct (knock on wood!). I based that decision on the idea that later on I would have to sell great stocks selling at average prices (BNI, PG) for great stocks selling at great prices (BA , and the stock to be named below).</p>
<p><strong>Top 25</strong></p>
<p>When I went on a buying spree, most of the stocks were ranked in either the top 50 or top 100 stocks with a minimum market cap of 2000 million. This was fine as I wanted to be 100% invested. Now that I am 100% invested, the only stocks I will consider purchasing are stocks ranked in the top 25 for companies with a minimum market cap of 50 or 2000 million (they usually overlap in between).</p>
<p><strong>PG last man (woman?) standing</strong></p>
<p>I purchased PG on June 30 as the stock price hit $60. I thought then it was TOO cheap and would provide some safety as consumers will not stop buying detergent. I plan to sell PG if another opportunity comes around or the stock hits $80 (my target price).</p>
<p><strong>Buying Forest Laboratories (FRX)</strong></p>
<p><a title="Forest Laboratories Profile" href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q/pr?s=FRX" target="_blank">According to Yahoo Finance</a>, Forest Laboratories, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and sells branded and generic forms of ethical drug products, and non-prescription pharmaceutical products. FRX currently appears on the magic formula screen for the top 25 companies with a minimum market cap of 2000 million. According to magicformulainvesting.com, FRX currently sports a 12% pre tax earnings yield and a ROIC greater than 100%. Calculating the numbers by hand, I get an earnings yield of 12.35 % and ROIC of 45%</p>
<p><strong>Bruce Berkowitz Owns It</strong></p>
<p>I had no idea. While checking out its P/E I found this <a title="Bruce Berkowitz Story Link" href="http://biz.yahoo.com/indie/080821/1382_id.html?.v=1" target="_blank">story link</a> stating <strong>Bruce Berkowitz</strong> owns FRX.  This by no means influenced my decision to purchase FRX but its great to know great minds think alike <img src='http://www.contrarianvalueinvesting.com/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_smile.gif' alt=':)' class='wp-smiley' /> </p>
<p>Disclaimer: I own PG and BA, have limit order for FRX and have sell order on BNI</p>
<p><script src="http://charts.wikinvest.com/wikinvest/wikichart/javascript/scripts.php" type="text/javascript"></script><object classid="clsid:d27cdb6e-ae6d-11cf-96b8-444553540000" width="300" height="260" codebase="http://download.macromedia.com/pub/shockwave/cabs/flash/swflash.cab#version=6,0,40,0"><param name="allowFullScreen" value="true" /><param name="allowScriptAccess" value="always" /><param name="flashvars" value="ticker=FRX&amp;startDate=22-02-2008&amp;endDate=22-08-2008&amp;rollingDate=&amp;showAnnotations=true&amp;liveQuote=true" /><param name="src" value="http://charts.wikinvest.com/WikiChartMini.swf" /><embed type="application/x-shockwave-flash" width="300" height="260" src="http://charts.wikinvest.com/WikiChartMini.swf" flashvars="ticker=FRX&amp;startDate=22-02-2008&amp;endDate=22-08-2008&amp;rollingDate=&amp;showAnnotations=true&amp;liveQuote=true" allowscriptaccess="always" allowfullscreen="true"></embed></object></p>
<div style="font-size:9px;text-align:right;width:300;font-family:Verdana"><a href="http://www.wikinvest.com/chart/FRX?utm_campaign=wchart&amp;utm_content=textchart">View the FRX WikiChart</a> on <a href="http://www.wikinvest.com">Wikinvest</a></div>
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